Tag Archives: trump

High crimes and misdemeanors

Only two U.S. presidents have been empeached and a third resigned before empeachment.  Neither of the empeached presidents were convicted of the crimes they were accused of.

Impeachment does not necessarily result in removal from office; it is only a legal statement of charges, parallel to an indictment in criminal law.

Both of the empeached presidents, Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton were acquitted by the senate and so stayed in office to end of their terms.

Nixon

Richard Nixon is the most interesting case.  He decided to resign before the impeachment hearing, thus avoiding both empeachment and being turfed from office.

Following his resignation, Vice-president Johnson (Nixon’s running mate and friend) pardoned him.  This avoided a trial where he was actually convicted and sentenced.

The acceptance of the pardon is said to represent an admission of guilt on Nixon’s part, but that is just supposition.  If he had declined the pardon and gone to criminal trial many would have been more satisfied.

Trump

Recent events involving former FBI director Comey and Trump have raised the possibility of obstruction of justice, which is a crime.  High crimes and misdemeanors can be a cause for empeachment.

If empeached though, the senate would still need to vote Trump out of office by two thirds majority which based on past history, is unpresidented ( no pun intended).

Whether there are tapes or not of Trumps alleged obstruction, it is highly unlikely he would resign like Richard Nixon.   So to all you hopeful optimists out there, I don’t think its going to happen.

US Election Thoughts

The average of 15 US media outlet election polls since Oct 1st to date have Hilary Clinton ahead by 6 percentage points.  A slim margin indeed.  Most of the people I talk to ( all Canadian residents and mainly Canadian nationals) struggle understanding Trumps popularity.

Most are concerned about his racist, misogynistic, far right conservative values.  How can a presidential candidate who incites violence and expresses extreme intolerance recieve such strong support.

Rationalization

I participated in a vibrant disscussion yesterday about Mr. Trump.  Fortunately, rather than a group of like minded individuals wondering how anyone could support Trump, we had a devils advocate in our midst.

Our advocate noted things like how Trump has actually never publicly stated policy that is unreasonable.  For example he supports enforcement of the existing immigration laws (strict enforcement but nothing more)

Mr.Trump is oft quoted as calling Mexicans rapists and murderers.  More accurately he said Mexican rapist and murderers should not be allowed into the US (not that all Mexicans were rapists and murderers)

Our devils advocate asked if the male conversants had never spoken about women as the weaker sex.  Men do this just not usually with the women present.  So are Trumps remarks in this regard really so bad.  Is he just not voicing what the male majority think in private.

Balancing the arguments, point and counterpoint, went on for some time with each Trump aggregious comment counter balanced by a logical argument.

In Context

If there is no such thing as bad publicity, Trump is going to triumph.  He is controversial but heavily covered.  You might not like his exaggerated statements, largely meant to get your attention,  but it works.

I am not sure what our devils advocate really thinks or whom he supports in the next US Federal election, however, his thought provoking alternate views very much help put this election drama (that seems so silly and hard to believe) into the serious context it really repesents.

The Donald

Donald Trump is currently the front runner in the polls for the Republican nomination as their candidate for the next presidential election.

Entertainment Media

One striking fact about media coverage of Mr. Trumps campaign is the preponderance of entertainment media.  As a TV star (The Apprentice, Miss Universe) he certainly has significant exposure as an entertainer, and he is milking this fact as part of his campaign for all the value he can get out of it.

Carefully Crafted Message

The other observation I have is how carefully he (and team) craft and present their platform so that it maps to and resonates with his target audience – conservative middle class Americans.

He is also a master at leveraging emotions, whether the message is accurate or not, as long as it raises his popularity.

My Greatest Fear

Recently, following the terrorist attacks in Paris and California, Mr. Trump proposed a temporary ban on allowing Muslims to enter the United States.  This really scares me, particularly because how well the message is working in gaining him support.

Realistically, Mr Trump can only desire to stop terrorists from entering the United States.  This makes sense.   However announcing you are banning terrorists from entering the country is not as powerful, feasible, or nearly as attention getting as saying you are banning Muslims.

Consider how many terrorists are actually practicing Muslims.  According to a 2010 study by the Pew Research Center there are about 1.6 billion Muslim adherents in the world.   I have read the US Department of Homeland Security has a high level estimate of 184,000 terrorists worldwide.  Even if they were all Muslims (which obviously is not the case) this is less than 0.012%.   Or said another way 99.99% of Muslims are not terrorists.

Clearly to imply Muslim equals terrorist is a totally inaccurate scare tactic.  This tactic has been has been used many times before by politicians and will be used again;  fear needs a name if it is to be channeled into support, and often any convenient scapegoat can be used.

The real sad part is how such a high percentage of the population can fall for it.