Tag Archives: economic impacts

Economic Theory

Economics is the practice of creating a theory to explain commercial activity.  This can span towns,cities, countries even the world.  The concept is to improve commercial activity through actions predicted by the theory as giving rise to positive results.

Is it working

There are a large number of well known and respected economic theories (Keynesian, Malthusian, consumerism, monitarism and so on).  Of course there are plenty of less well known theories as well.

The question of how successful economic management practices, based on these theories, have been is very difficult to answer.  I often wonder how the economy would fare without any intervention.

While activities that stimulate or contract commercial activities can be implemented and their results monitored, the question of what would have happened without intervention is unanswerable.

Todays Economy

Some industry and government organizations are questioning the relevance and effectiveness of traditional practices aimed at improving economic conditions.

The question arises whether economists have kept up with the myriad of continuously evolving factors that drive the economy.

Current changes in employment levels, productivity and individual wealth seem  to have little relationship to both macro and micro activities promoted by central economic theory.

Do Nothing

What would happen if governments stopped managing the money supply? (e.g.,  no economic easing , free floating rates, free trade and so on). Sadly no ones knows and it is unlikely we will ever find out.

 

The Sales Rant Continues

One of the foundations of our economy is sales.  It is a very simple equation.  On one side is a producer with a product or service to sell and on the other is the consumer who needs the product or service.

When the price the producer wants equals what the consumer wants to pay a sale occurs.  No sale, no economic activity.  The buy and sell transactions can be linked in chain.

In these cases, failure to sell at the bottom of the chain can impact a long string of financial activity.  For example, the steel sales falls through, the car is not built, so no gas or oil need be purchased.

Sales are Good for All

Logically then, from this perspective, sales are good for everyone and important for a growing and/ or thriving economy.  Yet sales people have a bad reputation.

Many feel, don’t sell me, if I want to buy it I will seek you out.  The problem with this is the fact sales are a fundemental driver of our economic prosperity and the submit and hope approach really doesn’t cut it.

In short, the economy needs  sales activities and not just neccessities like food but unnecessary things like junk food sales are a key factor in vibrant economy.

Valuing the Sales Person

Over the years my wife and I have bought and sold seven homes.  We paid for the services of a professional sales person in every case (i.e.a real estate agent).

If we had not recieved value from these agents we would have stopped using them.  However, seven times without fail they helped us get better faster deals, with less effort on our part.

A service well worth paying for.  Like most I don’t like dealing with sales people, but I sure see the value.

 

Leaving Coal Behind

With the Paris 2015 United Nations Conference on Climate Change,  just wrapping up there has been a lot of reporting from various media sources over the last few weeks about the climate change proposals and associated announcement of various government initiatives.

Alberta Coal

Although not totally new, one of the discussions highlighted is about the increased efforts by Canada (particularly the provinces of British Columbia and Alberta) to eliminate coal based power generation.

It is hard to argue this is not a really noble cause, coal is dirty and proven to cause respiratory related diseases.  Well documented are among them Coal Miners pneumoconiosis (CWP) and Silicosis.  Also the burning of coal produces a whole list of harmful air pollutants (much worse than say oil/natural gas production).

Economy versus Environment

For me, the big issue in this discussion is the economic effects.  While  harmful, both to mine and also when burned; Remember, coal is plentiful, relatively easy to extract (when measured against it’s competitor fuels).

Given coal supply is pretty steady and generally exceeds demand, it is a cost effective solution to power creation  (more so than other alternatives like hydro, nuclear, wind, etc).   Although, the economic benefit does depend on a number of factors, key to this is the geographic ready availability of alternate fuels or power sources like rivers, wind, etc,. relative to population and demand for power.

Current State

The real conundrum though is about the current economic activities relative to extraction and utilization of coal.  Using coal has a huge historical base with a well built up infrastructure (albeit continuing to shrink over time).  The speed at which the contraction of coal based economies occurs can have a very significant impact.  That is, whole small towns in the Canadian Provinces of BC and Alberta depend on this to survive and would basically become decimated.

Plan, be respectful, do it right

Unlike other areas of Canada, like Cape Breton, where shrinking demand and availability of coal supplies has resulted in huge unemployment and poverty; The governments of Alberta and British Columbia must create plans that mitigate this impact on their citizens and replacement economic activities need to be in place before the hammer drops.

Do we need to send this message to social government like the current one in Alberta?   Rhetorical question on my part, we should not need to.