Tag Archives: debt

Free Spending

With the annual Canadian budget announced last week, there has been a lot of discussion in the Canadian press about deficit spending.  That is spending more money than you receive over a specified period of time, e.g., a year.

For me, a lot of the recent discussion is focused on the question ” Can government budget deficits actually be a positive approach to encouraging economic development?

Balanced Analysis

For Canada, the budget is not balanced but the analysis of whether this is good or bad seems to be.  I have read reasonable arguments both supporting deficits or to stay within income limits.

On the overspending side, the arguments largely postulate borrowed money could be used by the government to foster economic development.

Things road, ports and airport construction can act as facilitators of economic development where the benefits often, but not always, exceed the costs.

The proponents often point to the fact the investment fraction of GDP has fallen to half what it was in the decades after WWII when deficits were small and even in surplus a couple of years.

Basically during a rampant period of deficit spending since 19060’s the average economic growth rate has been much less then it was during periods of balanced budgets.

In the End

For me, it is a simple discussion.  If the debt reaches a point where re-payment is unfeasible, the consequences are catastrophic.  Even for immediate term economic benefits, this risk is too high.

Our governments should balance their budgets and pay down the debt in an orderly manner.  Peace of mind and our economic model demand it.

 

Balancing your checkbook

The federal finance ministry has confirmed the predictions for a balanced budget this fiscal year are not accurate – instead we are looking at a continued deficit, for years to come.

The liberal party have announced the tax cuts (and tax increases) they planned as part of their election platform will not be revenue neutral as previously stated, but rather lead to increased deficit spending.  I am shocked.  A political promise during an election campaign that was not accurate, how can this be?

What happens if you don’t balance your checkbook?

Whether talking about personal, corporate or public accounting if you write checks totaling more  than your cash on hand there are only two outcomes.  You can borrow to cover the deficit or you can declare bankruptcy  (there are variations of declaring bankruptcy with different results, but we won’t get into that here).

Borrowing means …………..

Obviously at some point you need to pay it back.  In an extreme sense borrowing can lead to “mortgaging the future”.  Simply put a debt cycle that cannot be recovered from.

The other big downside of borrowing is the cost of doing so.  It is not free.   About 10% of the Canadian federal budget goes toward interest payments.  I can think of a lot better ways to spend this money.

The government of Canada has been making interest payments on debt my entire life (and that is not a short period of time).  The obvious conclusion is there is no intention, nor political will to retire the National debt.  Is this really fair to future generations of Canadians?

Debt is a way of using others money (at a cost) to obtain benefit now.  This approach makes sense if you expect to increase your assets over time, that is  if you think you will have more income or liquid cash in the future, why not spend it now (at a reasonable carrying cost) because you will be able to pay it back later.   This lets you have the pleasure of that nice car or home now (even though you cannot afford to buy it outright) because the future is bright.

For Canada this logic does not hold true.  Yes, the country is growing and we do expect increased gross national products year by year; However, the spending today is far outstripping the growth predictions of the future and in reality there is no reasonable expectation of catching up and becoming debt free.

Is it not high time to bite the bullet and pay down the debt?